Ori Plonsky

Ori Plonsky

I study how people learn and make decisions from experience, and how behavioral theory and machine learning can be combined to understand and predict human choice.

Research themes

Decisions from experience

How people learn and make decisions through repeated experience, particularly in uncertain and risky environments.

Predicting human choice

Using prediction as a tool for developing and evaluating behavioral theories, and for designing interventions that work reliably in practice.

Behavioral science × machine learning

Combining behavioral theory with machine learning methods to improve both the prediction and the understanding of human decision making.

Selected research

PSYCHOLOGICAL REVIEW · 2015

Reliance on small samples, the wavy recency effect, and similarity-based learning

A foundational account of how people learn from experience, explaining several puzzling patterns of choice through reliance on small samples and similarity-based learning.

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NATURE HUMAN BEHAVIOUR · 2025

Predicting human decisions with behavioral theories and machine learning

A large-scale test of how behavioral theories and machine learning can complement one another to predict both initial and repeated human decisions (AKA the BEAST-GB paper).

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JOURNAL OF APPLIED PSYCHOLOGY · 2023

Motivational drivers for serial position effects: Evidence from high-stakes legal decisions

Evidence from high-stakes legal decisions showing systematic serial-position effects and examining the motivational processes behind them. This line of work was recognized with the 2021 Hillel Einhorn New Investigator Award.

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Currently

During the 2026–27 academic year, I am a Visiting Professor in the Marketing Area at the Rotman School of Management, University of Toronto. I’m especially happy to connect with researchers working on related questions while I’m in Toronto.