Selected Publications
Plonsky, O., Teodorescu, K., & Erev, I. (2015). Reliance on Small Samples, the Wavy Recency Effect, and Similarity-based Learning. Psychological Review, 122(4), 621–647. doi: 10.1037/a0039413 Download pdf. Direct link.
Plonsky, O., & Erev, I. (2017). Learning in Settings with Partial Feedback and the Wavy Recency Effect of Rare Events. Cognitive Psychology, 93, 18-43. doi: 10.1016/j.cogpsych.2017.01.002 Download pdf. Direct link.
Erev, I., Ert, E., Plonsky, O., Cohen D., & Cohen O. (2017). From Anomalies to Forecasts: Toward a Descriptive Model of Decisions under Risk, under Ambiguity, and from Experience. Psychological Review, 124(4), 369-409. doi: 10.1037/rev0000062 Download pdf. Direct link. Competition’s website. Competition’s data.
Plonsky, O., Erev, I., Hazan, T., & Tennenholtz, M. (2017). Psychological Forest: Predicting Human Behavior. In The Proceedings of the Thirty-first AAAI Conference on Artificial Intelligence (AAAI-17), 656-662. Download pdf. Direct link.
Plonsky, O., & Teodorescu, K. (2020). The Influence of Biased Exposure to Forgone Outcomes. Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 33, 393– 407. doi: 10.1002/bdm.2168 Download pdf. Direct link.
Plonsky, O., & Teodorescu K. (2020). Perceived patterns in decisions from experience and their influence on choice variability and policy diversification: A response to Ashby, Konstantinidis, & Yechiam, 2017. Acta Psychologica, 202. doi: 10.1016/j.actpsy.2019.102953 Download pdf. Direct link.
Cohen D., Plonsky, O., & Erev, I. (2020). On the Impact of Experience on Probability Weighting in Decisions Under Risk. Decision, 7(2), 153–162. doi: 10.1037/dec0000118 Direct link.
Erev, I., Plonsky O., & Roth, Y. (2020). Complacency, panic, and the potential of gentle rule enforcement in addressing pandemics. Nature Human Behaviour, 4, 1095-1097. doi:10.1038/s41562-020-00939-z Direct link (full paper)
Roth, Y., Plonsky O., Shalev, E., & Erev, I. (2020). On the value of alert systems and gentle rule enforcement in addressing pandemics. Frontiers in Psychology, 11, 3252. doi: 10.3389/fpsyg.2020.577743 Direct link (full paper)
Plonsky O., Roth, Y., & Erev, I. (2021). Underweighting of rare events in social interactions and its implications to the design of voluntary health applications. Judgment and Decision Making, 16(2), 267-289. Direct link (full paper). 5 mins. presentation on this research (YouTube)
Plonsky, O., & Erev, I. (2021) To predict human choice, consider the context. Trends in Cognitive Sciences, 25(10), 819-820. Direct link
Teodorescu K., Plonsky, O., Ayal, S., & Barkan, R. (in press). Frequency of enforcement is more important than the severity of punishment in reducing violation behaviors. PNAS. preprint
Selected working papers
Plonsky, O., Apel, R., Ert, E., Tennenholtz, M., Bourgin, D., Peterson, J. C., Reichman, D., Griffiths, T. L., Russell, S., Carter, E. C., Cavanagh, J. F., & Erev I. (working paper). Predicting Human Decisions with Behavioral Theories and Machine Learning. Preprint. Competition’s website. Competition’s data.
Plonsky, O., Chen, D. L., Netzer L., Steiner, T., & Feldman, Y. (working paper). Best to be Last: Serial Position Effects in Legal Decisions in the Field and in the Lab. Preprint
Erev, I., Ert, E., Plonsky O., & Roth, Y. (working paper). Six Contradicting Deviations from Rational Choice, and the Impact of Experience. preprint. 15 mins. presentation (Ido Erev, YouTube)
Plonsky, O. & Erev, I. (working paper). Prediction oriented behavioral research and its relationship to classical decision research. preprint.
Plonsky, O. & Roth, Y. (work in progress). When both players choose dominated options: Underweighting of rare events in 2-person repeated games. 20 mins. conference presentation (YouTube)
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